Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.044987 0.049065 0.053209 0.057728 0.062509 0.067411 0.072808
2024-12-22 0.040021 0.045957 0.052198 0.059224 0.066888 0.074970 0.084111
2024-12-29 0.035609 0.042871 0.050747 0.059867 0.070078 0.081106 0.093857
2025-01-05 0.031967 0.040237 0.049467 0.060431 0.072995 0.086846 0.103167
2025-01-12 0.028260 0.037171 0.047401 0.059851 0.074433 0.090814 0.110449
2025-01-19 0.025884 0.035438 0.046685 0.060670 0.077358 0.096411 0.119579
2025-01-26 0.023157 0.033039 0.044975 0.060136 0.078564 0.099933 0.126274
2025-02-02 0.021184 0.031408 0.044051 0.060423 0.080651 0.104429 0.134088
2025-02-09 0.019842 0.030464 0.043882 0.061557 0.083708 0.110055 0.143251
2025-02-16 0.019231 0.030419 0.044806 0.064029 0.088404 0.117675 0.154857
2025-02-23 0.016808 0.027750 0.042184 0.061856 0.087207 0.118051 0.157665
2025-03-02 0.015214 0.026104 0.040799 0.061177 0.087805 0.120566 0.163035
2025-03-09 0.013813 0.024665 0.039651 0.060798 0.088817 0.123668 0.169256
2025-03-16 0.013387 0.024619 0.040397 0.062942 0.093109 0.130922 0.180701
2025-03-23 0.012639 0.024035 0.040349 0.063988 0.095963 0.136381 0.189956
2025-03-30 0.011886 0.023385 0.040164 0.064816 0.098517 0.141466 0.198777
2025-04-06 0.010824 0.022166 0.039091 0.064354 0.099310 0.144274 0.204720
2025-04-13 0.010241 0.021673 0.039045 0.065308 0.101997 0.149532 0.213809
2025-04-20 0.009326 0.020558 0.038010 0.064804 0.102664 0.152141 0.219505
2025-04-27 0.008694 0.019874 0.037586 0.065142 0.104464 0.156228 0.227116
2025-05-04 0.008319 0.019604 0.037776 0.066361 0.107475 0.161922 0.236833
2025-05-11 0.008283 0.019936 0.038911 0.068981 0.112466 0.170283 0.250079
2025-05-18 0.007195 0.018263 0.036793 0.066699 0.110521 0.169348 0.251153